Cost-Effectiveness of Accelerated HIV Response Scenarios in Côte d'Ivoire

BACKGROUND: Despite Côte d'Ivoire epidemic being labelled as 'generalized', key populations (KP) are important to overall transmission. Using a dynamic model of HIV transmission, we previously estimated the impact of several treatment-as-prevention strategies that reached -or missed- the UNAIDS 90-90-90 targets in different populations groups, including KP and clients of female sex workers (CFSW). To inform program planning and resources allocation, we assessed the cost-effectiveness of these scenarios. METHODS: Costing was performed from the provider's perspective. Unit costs were obtained from the Ivorian Programme national de lutte contre le Sida (USD 2015) and discounted at 3%. Net incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) per adult HIV infection prevented and per disability-adjusted life years (DALY) averted were estimated over 2015-2030. RESULTS: The three most cost-effective and affordable scenarios were the ones that projected current programmatic trends (ICER=$210; 90% uncertainty interval [90UI%]: $150-$300), attaining the 90-90-90 objectives among KP and CFSW (ICER=$220; 90%UI: $80-$510), and among KP only (ICER=$290; 90%UI: $90-$660). The least cost-effective scenario was the one that reached the UNAIDS 90-90-90 target accompanied by a 25% point drop in condom use in KP (ICER=$710; 90%UI: $450-$1,270). In comparison, the UNAIDS scenario had a net ICER of $570 (90%UI: $390-$900) per DALY averted. CONCLUSIONS: According to commonly used thresholds, accelerating the HIV response can be considered very cost-effective for all scenarios. However, when balancing epidemiological impact, cost-effectiveness, and affordability, scenarios that sustain both high condom use and rates of viral suppression among KP and CFSW appear most promising in Côte d'Ivoire.This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial License 4.0 (CCBY-NC), where it is permissible to download, share, remix, transform, and buildup the work provided it is properly cited. The work cannot be used commercially without permission from the journal.
Auteurs (Zotero)
Maheu-Giroux, Mathieu; Diabaté, Souleymane; Boily, Marie-Claude; Jean-Paul, Nédjéda; Vesga, Juan F.; Baral, Stefan; Abo, Kouamé; Wognin, Venance; Diouf, Daouda; Alary, Michel
Date de publication (Zotero)
août, 2019